{"uid":"cap_pe3-cbarQ0rNAcJwka0Ax","slug":"company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b7e0083c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_BPZJct7LLdSxiKUTBANPU","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"company-enrich.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://company-enrich.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for the US entering a recession in 2025 — including current volume and any whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin crossing $100K by end of this year, and tell me what the trading volume and whale sentiment look like right now."},{"title":"Geopolitical outcome market odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a ceasefire deal in Ukraine being reached this quarter? Give me the full odds breakdown and any notable volume signals."},{"title":"AI policy regulation odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability that a major US AI regulation bill will pass in 2025, and show me whale sentiment and recent volume for that market."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities as percentages, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity in the relevant prediction market.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic maps to multiple markets — may return multiple or mismatched results","Polymarket API or upstream data unavailability causes stale or failed fetch","Payment not processed (x402 flow fails) — endpoint returns 402 with payment details","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — returns 429 error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, crypto, or AI events as reflected in actual money on Polymarket. It is ideal when you want live market-implied odds rather than LLM-generated guesses, and when you need volume or whale sentiment signals alongside probability. Prefer this over news or sentiment APIs when quantified prediction market probabilities are the goal.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:33:12.428Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"company-enrich-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-15e02655"}