{"uid":"cap_pMubyuKSJpIz4oo_aHsKH","slug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-46100af8","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_FByRUeq5GR-SSU9r39niT","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket prediction markets for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — and is there any notable whale sentiment on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election? I want the Yes/No odds and any volume data."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event monitoring","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds on whether the US Senate passes a crypto stablecoin bill this year — what are traders pricing in and is there heavy whale activity?"},{"title":"Macro recession risk assessment","prompt":"Check Polymarket prediction markets for any active recession probability markets for the US in 2025 — what's the current implied Yes probability and total volume?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume figures, whale sentiment signals, and market metadata for prediction markets matching the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty results or low-confidence match","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream data fetch failure","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple unrelated markets — response may include irrelevant markets","Topic string too vague (e.g. single character) — rejected by minLength:1 but semantically unresolvable","Payment failure via x402 protocol — 402 response if USDC payment not processed correctly"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, geopolitical, crypto, or AI policy events from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks — especially when you want implied probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need market-priced probabilities and trading activity signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:49:45.883Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219"}