{"uid":"cap_ouQKMF0qPOfNawHFOUZI4","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0ad8ca39","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_LjNtX5tmYFcxjAAdKO1X_","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for Bitcoin ETF approval — including current volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of a US recession being declared this year? Include volume and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds and Yes/No probabilities for the Ethereum spot ETF approval — I want to know what the market is pricing in right now."},{"title":"AI event prediction market query","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for GPT-5 being released before the end of this year? Show me the implied probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple or incorrect markets","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or failed data fetch","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned","Extremely low-volume market with sparse orderbook data yielding unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. It is ideal for agents that need market-implied odds rather than model-based forecasts, or when whale sentiment and orderbook depth are relevant to a decision. Prefer this over news or social sentiment APIs when you want financially-backed probabilistic signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:16.409Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}