{"uid":"cap_om1vmK8RuVyAeqzM_thQT","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e0d71357","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_19WpY4pLFl479ulji4E-O","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September?' — also show me the volume and whale sentiment.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of year — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a US recession in 2025? Give me the implied probability, orderbook depth, and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI or tech event odds retrieval","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current odds on OpenAI releasing GPT-5 before the end of this year — show me the Yes/No probabilities and recent volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as decimal percentages), market volume, and whale/large-order sentiment signals for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return incorrect market","Payment required error (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not properly handled","Rate limiting or access denial if called excessively without valid payment"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's decentralized prediction markets — particularly for macro events, crypto milestones, political outcomes, or AI developments. Prefer this over news sentiment or social media signals when you want financially-backed implied probabilities and whale-level orderbook intelligence rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:28.702Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}