{"uid":"cap_oi5eQ8nxToCGX6E2EVmgZ","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-effa9388","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_3bz7JT8Jo7hg1KJa-pED6","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket probability that Ethereum spot ETF gets approved this quarter? Show me the Yes/No odds and any whale orderbook signals."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the implied probability and trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy market sentiment","prompt":"What are prediction markets saying about the US passing AI regulation this year? Give me the Polymarket Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current market volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order activity for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — results may include multiple event rows requiring disambiguation","Payment via x402 fails or is insufficient — HTTP 402 returned before data is provided","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion — request rejected with error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is preferable over news sentiment APIs when you want monetarily-backed probability signals rather than editorial opinion, and over static data APIs when live odds and whale positioning matter. Best suited for agents doing event-driven trading research, market briefings, or probability-weighted decision making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:35:40.671Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}