{"uid":"cap_nu6wNJfFhoNWIooG09nto","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7b5ac303","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_EWPYwkn9irn05UFkSPgQp","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, Yes/No implied probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut interest rates in 2025'? Pull the orderbook and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 by end of 2025? Show me the Yes/No odds and any whale activity."},{"title":"Election outcome probability lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on who wins the next US presidential election — I want the implied probabilities and current trading volume for each candidate."},{"title":"AI milestone market sentiment","prompt":"What do Polymarket prediction markets currently say about the probability of AGI being achieved before 2026? Give me the orderbook sentiment and whale positions."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-matched result","Polymarket API downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Payment failure via x402 returns 402 status before data is delivered","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market. Prefer this over static news or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual financial stakes and whale activity signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:15.276Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}