{"uid":"cap_njaIhdPX6UuvD0zEprsEl","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-2cba0350","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_xMFGfZ9TtrJc9fk_YL74B","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for the US entering a recession in 2025 — and is there any notable whale activity on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for who wins the 2026 US Senate majority — give me the implied probabilities and recent volume."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval sentiment","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a Solana spot ETF approval in the US? I want the Yes/No implied probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market intelligence","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — I need the live odds and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns the live Polymarket orderbook snapshot for the queried topic including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity on the market.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty or low-confidence result","Ambiguous topic resolves to multiple markets — may return the wrong market or a list requiring disambiguation","Polymarket API or data feed unavailability causes timeout or stale data","Payment failure via x402 protocol blocks request before execution","Very niche or newly created markets may have thin orderbooks and unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when an agent needs real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbook — particularly when whale sentiment and volume context are needed alongside raw odds. Prefer this over general web search when you want structured, numeric probability data rather than news articles or opinion pieces.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:32:44.446Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}