{"uid":"cap_nj0490CeNlMcRNljqiNOR","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-62c55341","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_i0tqyfB5ShzO3Sqrtjz1c","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability on Bitcoin hitting $100k this year — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on the Republican candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election, and what's the implied probability?"},{"title":"Crypto event market intelligence","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket orderbook and implied probabilities for an Ethereum spot ETF being approved this quarter — I want to see volume and any whale activity too."},{"title":"Fed policy prediction market check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market(s).","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or connectivity issue","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or incorrectly ranked markets","Payment failure via x402 — 402 response if USDC payment not properly attached","Stale or cached data if orderbook refresh is delayed — probabilities may lag real-time by seconds"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks for macro, crypto, political, or AI events, especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, volume depth, and whale accumulation signals in a single call rather than scraping Polymarket's UI or API directly.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T12:42:01.031Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}