{"uid":"cap_n6dKHSGAUOBupNZEb-P3c","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_hmmR53YN0qYqRysglBgDr","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI event prediction markets.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin will reach $150k by end of 2025? Show me the Yes/No odds and how much volume is behind that market."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now — what are traders giving as the odds of a US recession being declared in 2025? I want the implied probability and any whale positioning."},{"title":"AI regulation forecasting","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of the US passing major AI regulation this year? Give me the live odds, volume, and sentiment from big traders."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream outage — endpoint returns error or stale data","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC micropayment is not properly attached","Rate limiting if too many calls are made in quick succession","Topic returns multiple ambiguous markets with no clear best match"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live crowd-sourced probability estimates for discrete future events — especially macro, crypto, or AI/political outcomes — rather than relying on analyst forecasts or news sentiment. Prefer it over general news APIs when you need quantified market-implied probabilities and volume-backed sentiment from active traders on Polymarket.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:37.724Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}