{"uid":"cap_mrQfeWKErswMd6_oF9_aT","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8ef9b7b7","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/paid)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/paid?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_bbzO7-9XsQGsJN9-nxwl3","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket prediction markets for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025 — including current volume and whether whales are leaning Yes or No?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $5,000 this year? I want the Yes/No odds, volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro event probability lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the Fed cuts interest rates in Q3 2025 — give me the implied probability and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? I want the orderbook odds and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators, giving a real-time crowd-sourced probability estimate for the specified event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or no-result response","Ambiguous topic resolves to wrong market — verify market title in response","Payment failure via x402 — endpoint returns HTTP 402 if payment not processed","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream outage may return error","Topic too vague results in multiple markets returned without clear winner"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events. Prefer this over news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money rather than sentiment scores or editorial opinion. Ideal for agents doing risk assessment, trading signal generation, or current-events probability tracking.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:25.730Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}