{"uid":"cap_mmuByFBVV6NnFcA61iFP0","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-556457cc","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_FNF2JNfSmgnjJh35Nob8x","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for the Fed cutting interest rates before the end of 2025? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum hits $5,000 this year? I want to see the Yes/No odds and any whale activity."},{"title":"Macro policy market odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the US will enter a recession in 2025 — give me the orderbook-implied probabilities and trading volume."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market query","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the likelihood of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? Show me the Yes/No probabilities and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or unexpected markets","Stale data if Polymarket API is delayed — probabilities may lag real-time market state","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not completed before query","Rate limiting or throttling if too many queries are made in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is ideal for agents that need to gauge market consensus, whale positioning, or implied odds on near-term events without building a Polymarket integration from scratch. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you specifically need quantified probability rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:41.353Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}