{"uid":"cap_mUmEVQYTLmKPCTqCPZDDi","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-28dc9be3","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":100,"minimum":1,"description":"Maximum number of items to return per page (1-100)"},"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"},"cursor":{"type":"string","description":"Opaque pagination cursor for fetching the next page"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_tZQ3_RJhqUu-WmT7rOVMh","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin crossing $150k before the end of 2025, including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds on who wins the 2026 US midterms — I want to see the implied probabilities and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of a Fed rate cut in September? Give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval odds","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket orderbook for whether a Solana ETF gets approved in 2025 — I need the current implied probability and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment indicators, and metadata about the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic is too ambiguous and matches multiple unrelated markets — may return mixed or irrelevant data","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Payment failure via x402 protocol — call not executed if USDC payment is rejected","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — HTTP 429 or 402 payment required response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for binary macro, crypto, political, or AI events, particularly when you want market-implied odds rather than model predictions. It is ideal for agents monitoring live event probabilities, performing sentiment analysis on prediction markets, or incorporating Polymarket whale activity into financial decision logic. Prefer this over news search endpoints when you want a quantified probability signal, not narrative coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:07.235Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}