{"uid":"cap_mPlYrUX5QzXr-W2mihN4h","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-71b9ced4","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_KUnWnoWDAMo-fijDOs4Nc","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025, including whale sentiment and current volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum will flip Bitcoin by market cap this year? Include volume and any whale activity you can see."},{"title":"Macro event odds for Fed rate decision","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at their next meeting — I want the Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances of the EU AI Act being enforced by mid-2025? Give me the implied probability and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket returns empty results or no matching market","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets, requiring more specific input","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causes delayed or failed responses","Very new or illiquid markets may show incomplete orderbook data or zero volume","Payment failure via x402 results in 402 response before data is returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market orderbooks, especially when you want implied probability figures combined with volume and large-trader (whale) sentiment rather than just news or analyst opinions","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:45.248Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}