{"uid":"cap_mL3KQDfwkHVQ4HthXI1vd","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-65f88f83","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_S20eYLPrnLYMVXE1P_edr","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market event.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probability right now for Bitcoin hitting $150k this year — including trading volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Democratic candidate wins the 2026 midterms — show me the yes/no odds and how much volume is trading on that market right now?"},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on a Solana spot ETF getting approved this year — I want the implied probability, current orderbook sentiment, and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI event prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of OpenAI releasing GPT-5 before the end of the year? Give me the yes probability, no probability, and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order activity — enabling agents to assess crowd-sourced event probability in real time.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most liquid or first match","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting may cause delayed or failed responses","Topic too broad may return aggregate or approximate market data","Payment failure via x402 protocol prevents data retrieval"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market. Prefer it over news or sentiment APIs when you want financially-weighted, market-implied probabilities rather than textual opinion. Ideal for trading bots, research agents, or decision-support tools that need quantified event odds with volume and whale flow context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:00.140Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}