{"uid":"cap_mKWKrun4vRzX8SVeTPJpF","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f06c40b4","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_QulnXe2vGzDj3NiCerEj4","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for the next FOMC rate cut — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? I want the implied Yes/No odds and any whale sentiment."},{"title":"Bitcoin price milestone bet tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live odds on Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of year — what's the current implied probability and trading volume on that market?"},{"title":"Election outcome prediction market monitoring","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is behind those numbers."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order activity.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague — returns no matching market or incorrect market","Polymarket market not found for the given topic — empty or null response","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — requires x402 micropayment of $0.01 USDC to proceed","Rate limiting or upstream Polymarket API outage causing stale or missing data","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets — may return wrong event"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. It is ideal when you want market-implied odds rather than analyst forecasts, especially for FOMC decisions, crypto price milestones, or election outcomes. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified probability with volume and whale order flow context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:38.308Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}