{"uid":"cap_mFI0f667HciLd4KnBWPde","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aa97802a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_nSTCRTt_ORleael7zevfJ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $100K by end of year — including volume and what whale traders are betting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is trading on it."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability for a spot Ethereum ETF getting approved this year? Include whale sentiment if available."},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the odds of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — give me the Yes probability and current trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for macro, crypto, political, or AI prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may return multiple or unexpected markets","Payment failure via x402 protocol if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or timeout if Polymarket upstream is slow"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-implied probabilities for a specific event (crypto, macro, AI, political) sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbook, especially when you need whale sentiment or volume alongside the odds. Prefer this over static news or sentiment analysis tools when you want market-priced probability estimates reflecting actual money at risk.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:26:26.867Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}