{"uid":"cap_lgie4ebzCvwgnSUAtE3S4","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-41e05ce6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Nl2JUVnZITFViIADyKYpm","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election, including whale sentiment and volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a Fed rate cut happening before the end of the year — give me the implied Yes probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto regulation market watch","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for whether the SEC will approve a spot Ethereum ETF this quarter, including current volume and orderbook sentiment."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market odds for any major AI regulation or executive order being signed in the next 6 months?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, current trading volume, whale accumulation/sentiment signals, and market metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or low-confidence result","Polymarket API or data source unavailable — may return upstream error","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — results may cover unintended markets","Payment not processed (402) — endpoint requires x402 USDC micropayment per call","Rate limiting or quota exceeded for the upstream data feed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks, especially when whale sentiment and live volume context matter. Prefer this over general news search when you want quantified market-implied probabilities rather than narrative coverage. It is especially useful for agents performing event-driven trading analysis, political forecasting, or risk assessment based on decentralized prediction market signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:36:50.314Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}