{"uid":"cap_lIs8EvhuLEqv_r80Aqyd6","slug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-15128bd5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_3ZsUu7cPrEEH7NtZBoO7N","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://alpha-stream.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability that the Republican candidate wins the 2024 US presidential election? Give me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale sentiment."},{"title":"Crypto price event monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds for 'Bitcoin above $100k by end of year' — I want the implied probability, volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"Macro Fed policy market odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the probability of a Fed interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting and tell me what the current Yes/No implied odds and trading volume look like."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from orderbook prices, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader behavior.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic string too vague or ambiguous, matching unintended markets","Polymarket API or upstream data feed temporarily unavailable, causing stale or missing data","Payment not processed correctly via x402, resulting in 402 Payment Required error","Rate limiting or quota exceeded returning an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket specifically, including orderbook-derived implied odds and large-trader sentiment. Prefer it over general news or financial data APIs when you want market-consensus probability rather than raw price or sentiment data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:27.417Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"alpha-stream-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-47b1e05a"}