{"uid":"cap_lFEn2zzsMm5gzDFPvjzXA","slug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b8c1c687","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_OqkFyfmxxgBbHpdWYnPlp","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities on Bitcoin hitting $100K this year — include volume and any whale sentiment signal?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds on the 2024 US presidential election — I want to see the implied win probabilities, current volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction market","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Fed rate cut in September? Give me the live Yes/No odds and volume."},{"title":"AI regulation event odds","prompt":"What are the Polymarket prediction market odds right now on the EU AI Act being fully enforced by end of 2025? I want the implied probabilities and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return first or most relevant match","Stale data if Polymarket API is experiencing downtime or rate limiting","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Generic 500 error if upstream Polymarket data feed is unavailable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events and want market-based signals rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news APIs when you need quantified implied probabilities backed by real money, or when tracking whale activity and orderbook depth on a specific event outcome.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:21.129Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-4c3229d4"}