{"uid":"cap_kxffFV_GvS9eQDI4289eB","slug":"json-repair-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ec420fcf","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_FU67V6PofCrYX9MI1Fd67","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"json-repair.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"json-repair-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://json-repair.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given event topic or keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of Ethereum ETF approval? Give me the implied Yes/No probability and recent volume."},{"title":"Geopolitical risk sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds on whether there will be a US-China conflict over Taiwan this year — I want the implied probability and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro economic forecast odds","prompt":"What's the crowd-sourced Polymarket probability right now for a US recession in the next 12 months? Include the orderbook data and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object with live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current market prices, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Payment not processed — HTTP 402 response if x402 USDC payment header is missing or insufficient","Ambiguous topic yields multiple unrelated markets — may return aggregated or first-match results","Stale data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable — may return cached or outdated odds","Rate limiting or payment failure causing HTTP 402 or 429 responses"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability data for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over static news or LLM-generated forecasts when you want market-derived implied probabilities, volume signals, and whale sentiment rather than qualitative analysis. Ideal for agents that need live prediction market intelligence as part of financial, risk, or event-monitoring workflows.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:46:29.637Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"json-repair-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-15dfd48c"}