{"uid":"cap_kkCsQuErx4TjDFEYNqNFt","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-72c963ef","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_BvlasfrrbEgOXImDasLK4","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in 2025, including whale sentiment and volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for who wins the 2026 US midterm elections — I want to see the Yes/No breakdown and any whale accumulation signals."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone market odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market probabilities that Bitcoin hits $150,000 before the end of this year? Give me the orderbook sentiment and recent volume too."},{"title":"Geopolitical conflict resolution odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a peace deal or ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict within the next six months — I want to see the whale sentiment as well."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total market volume, and whale sentiment signals derived from large-order flow analysis across macro, crypto, and AI event markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or low-confidence result","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causes stale or missing data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets, returning aggregated or mixed results","Payment not processed correctly via x402 protocol, resulting in 402 error and no data returned","Network timeout if Polymarket orderbook is slow to respond"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates and market sentiment for macro, geopolitical, crypto, or AI events — specifically sourced from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. Prefer this over news or social sentiment endpoints when you want financially-staked probability signals and whale order flow rather than opinion or media volume.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:49.059Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}