{"uid":"cap_kQIfwFDIs_92h83WPXeMN","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-018fbd98","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_KIYNIkXDnVR1MzJUhEu5e","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in 2025 — give me the implied yes/no probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied yes/no probabilities and trading volume for each candidate."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a spot Ethereum ETF being approved this year? Give me the yes/no implied probabilities and any whale-side sentiment."},{"title":"Geopolitical conflict risk assessment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live prediction odds on whether there will be a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict before the end of 2025, including volume and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity on the market.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match data","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causes stale or missing data","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity, leading to unreliable implied probabilities","Misspelled or overly broad topic queries may return unrelated market data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, geopolitical, crypto, or AI events as reflected in live prediction market trading activity on Polymarket. Prefer this over static news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied odds backed by real money and whale order flow. It is especially useful for trading bots, risk models, or research agents that need continuously updated event probabilities rather than periodic survey data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:24.753Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}