{"uid":"cap_jwf7208FMnp1bNk6_xwYz","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-723eaf57","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_8XPpHugsnPD3dJ62bealB","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in 2025? I also want to know the volume and whether whales are leaning Yes or No.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability tracking","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for Bitcoin reaching $100k before the end of this year — I want to see the Yes/No split and how much volume is on each side."},{"title":"Election outcome market monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Republican win in the 2026 midterm elections? Give me the implied Yes/No odds and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the live prediction market on whether OpenAI will release a new frontier model in the next three months — I need the current implied probability and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response with live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total market volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return incorrect or unexpected market","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or missing data","Misspelled or overly specific topic fails to match any active market","Topic references a settled or expired market with no live orderbook"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected in actual money-at-risk on Polymarket. Ideal when you want not just sentiment but implied probability backed by live orderbook liquidity and whale activity, rather than news sentiment or social media polling. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when the user explicitly wants prediction market odds or probability estimates for a future event.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:30.766Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}