{"uid":"cap_jaJW6jhyn099TOylKPyXZ","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a7936d0e","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_QPn08ObPMofMaDIUt8TfX","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin being approved as a US strategic reserve asset this year, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum ETF gets approved in the next 90 days, and is there any whale activity pushing the odds?"},{"title":"Macro election odds monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds for the next US presidential election — I want to see the Yes/No probabilities and overall volume right now."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently think about the odds of a major AI regulation bill passing in the US this year? Give me the implied probability and any notable sentiment signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities derived from the orderbook, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators — enabling agents to assess crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, and AI events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — returns upstream error","Topic string too vague or ambiguous — returns multiple unrelated markets or low-confidence match","Payment not settled via x402 — endpoint returns HTTP 402 and no data","Rate limiting or upstream Polymarket throttling — delayed or partial response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's live prediction markets — especially for macro, crypto, or AI events. Prefer this over news APIs when you want quantified market consensus (implied probability %) rather than qualitative reporting. Best for agents that need to reason about event likelihood using actual money-backed prediction market signals, including volume and whale behavior, rather than sentiment scores or polls.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:36:05.440Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}