{"uid":"cap_jXaFsrD01uw6Oy3daa2mP","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db7a190a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_K1BuUkdxIMu13li1jgH96","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $100K by end of year — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum will flip Bitcoin in market cap this year? Give me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro policy betting odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — I want the implied probability, volume, and orderbook sentiment."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction market","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the chances that OpenAI releases a new flagship model before Q3? Show me the Yes/No probabilities and market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI prediction markets.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or not matching any active Polymarket market — returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API or orderbook feed unavailable — may return timeout or upstream error","No active markets for the requested topic — response may indicate zero results","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets — may return multiple or mixed results","Rate limiting or payment failure via x402 — returns 402 or payment error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks, especially when you want implied probabilities, volume data, and whale sentiment in a single call rather than scraping Polymarket directly.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:15.686Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}