{"uid":"cap_jF_OHnGYcgIepICFBuE9H","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f099b720","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"limit":{"type":"integer","default":20,"maximum":100,"minimum":1,"description":"Maximum number of items to return per page (1-100)"},"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"},"cursor":{"type":"string","description":"Opaque pagination cursor for fetching the next page"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Gc_nsTknqBW7jAbdXiPz5","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin hitting $150k before the end of 2025, including trading volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Ethereum reaching $10k this year — I want to see the Yes/No split and recent whale activity."},{"title":"Macro event market sentiment lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in Q3 2025? Give me the live orderbook odds and volume."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market monitor","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live implied probabilities on any AI regulation or AI safety bill passing in the US this year — I want to see the current Yes/No odds and market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes and No probabilities for the queried event, 24-hour trading volume, and whale sentiment signals — allowing agents to understand crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, and AI events in real time.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous — returns no matching markets or mismatched markets","Polymarket API upstream unavailability — endpoint may return empty or error response","Topic not currently listed on Polymarket — no active market found","Rate limiting or payment failure (x402) — request blocked until payment resolved","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook feed is delayed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks, especially for crypto, macro, or AI events. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you specifically want implied market probabilities, whale positioning, and trading volume rather than editorial opinion or social media sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:48:35.322Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}