{"uid":"cap_ixkjnCgoeW-PZc8o7HF-U","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-48a4459f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_VQpvJn5LtNHv3VY0Dle5C","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied yes/no probabilities right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in September 2025, including any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probability for a US recession happening in 2025 — I want to see yes/no odds and volume."},{"title":"Crypto milestone prediction lookup","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that Bitcoin hits $150k before the end of 2025? Show me the orderbook sentiment and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI policy event odds","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the probability of the EU AI Act enforcement going into effect this year — what are the yes/no implied odds?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating large-trader positioning on the event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Topic keyword too vague to match a specific market — ambiguous results returned","Polymarket API or orderbook feed temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Payment of $0.01 USDC via x402 not completed — 402 Payment Required response","Rate limiting if called too frequently without proper payment flow"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. Prefer this over news sentiment tools when you want quantified market-implied probabilities backed by real money, or when you need whale/large-trader positioning signals rather than just public opinion polls.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:25.327Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}