{"uid":"cap_illEDJYJyLcuGMUfZbDx6","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-a226cc1e","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_HGS_kdfEQGqkLX8AGL378","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic keyword or question","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for a US recession happening this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $150k before end of 2025 — I want the Yes/No implied probabilities and how much volume is on this market."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the orderbook sentiment and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI event market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for any markets related to AGI or a major AI breakthrough in 2025 — what are the current implied probabilities and trading volumes?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), current orderbook snapshot, 24h trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty result or no-match response","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match results","Payment not processed (x402) — endpoint returns 402 Payment Required before data is served","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity on the queried market"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market — especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, orderbook depth, and whale sentiment in a single call rather than scraping Polymarket directly or polling raw exchange data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:17.067Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}