{"uid":"cap_idiBXLzvLmuVLDDIDEtSi","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-bcee8642","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm__yxwsJF8O7uEeNIa9jVdG","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025'? I want to see volume and whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone market check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probability and orderbook volume for 'Will Bitcoin hit $150,000 in 2025?' — I want to see if whale sentiment is bullish or bearish right now."},{"title":"Election outcome probability tracking","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket Yes/No odds for 'Will there be a US recession in 2025'? Give me the current implied probabilities and any notable volume spikes."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for prediction markets around AI regulation or the EU AI Act — I need the implied probabilities and whale sentiment for the top matching markets."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals. Data reflects real-time market consensus from active traders on Polymarket.","failureModes":["Topic query matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches unintended markets — caller should refine query","Polymarket API upstream outage — returns error or stale data","Rate limit or payment failure via x402 — returns 402 Payment Required","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity and unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's active prediction markets on crypto, macro, AI, or geopolitical events. It is ideal for agents that need live market-implied odds rather than analyst forecasts or news sentiment. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you want financially-staked consensus probabilities and orderbook depth.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:47.243Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}