{"uid":"cap_iVvHETgthBCHt4neSFbv9","slug":"cyclepulse-us-manufacturing-inventory-cycle-signal-e7f952df","name":"CyclePulse — US Manufacturing & Inventory Cycle Signal","description":"US inventory & production cycle signal (bullwhip gauge)","url":"https://api.aidress.ai/pay/agent_cycle_lonestaroracle_xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"name":"CyclePulse","tags":["macro","inventory","manufacturing","factory-orders","cycle","capex","supply-chain"],"type":"object","version":"1.0.0","category":"macro","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET","HEAD","DELETE"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{}}}},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"signal":"US factory cycle: Mid-cycle / inventory building. Inventory-to-sales 1.39 (+0.01 pts YoY), core capex orders +1.9% YoY, durable goods orders +2.1% YoY.","cycle_phase":"Mid-cycle / inventory building"}}}},"description":"US inventory & production cycle signal — the bullwhip gauge for the real economy. Returns the manufacturing-and-trade inventory-to-sales ratio and its month/year trend (total business plus retail, wholesale, and manufacturer breakdown), factory new orders for durable goods (total and ex-transportation) and core capital goods ex-aircraft (the cleanest business-investment leading indicator), the order backlog, and a plain-English cycle phase (expansion/restocking, mid-cycle, destocking/contraction risk, or bottoming). Use it to time the manufacturing cycle, anticipate industrial demand and commodity pull-through, and read restocking vs destocking — a companion to supply-chain-stress and macro data. Pay-per-call $0.05 in USDC on Base via x402. Data = US Census MTIS + Advance M3, US government public domain."},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_hhMUJDlPfUc0MH0Jb9HWF","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns the current US manufacturing and inventory cycle phase, inventory-to-sales ratios, durable goods order trends, core capex signals, and backlog context derived from US Census data.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the current US manufacturing cycle phase — are we in restocking or destocking, and how do the latest inventory-to-sales ratios and durable goods orders look?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Industrial sector investment timing","prompt":"I'm thinking about adding industrials and materials to my portfolio — can you check the current US manufacturing cycle phase and tell me whether inventory-to-sales ratios and core capex orders suggest the sector is in expansion or contraction?"},{"title":"Supply chain procurement planning","prompt":"Our procurement team needs to know if US manufacturers are restocking or destocking right now — pull the latest inventory cycle signal and durable goods order trends so we can decide whether to lock in contracts early or wait."},{"title":"Macro economic research briefing","prompt":"For my weekly macro brief, can you get the current US factory cycle phase along with the inventory-to-sales breakdown by sector and year-over-year durable goods order trends?"}],"resultDescription":"A structured JSON response containing a plain-English cycle phase label (e.g. 'Mid-cycle / inventory building'), the manufacturing-and-trade inventory-to-sales ratio with month-over-month and year-over-year changes, a breakdown by retail/wholesale/manufacturer, new durable goods orders (total and ex-transportation), core capital goods orders ex-aircraft, order backlog data, and a summary signal sentence describing the current state of the US real economy manufacturing cycle.","failureModes":["Census data not yet published for the current period — response may reflect prior month's data","Network or payment authorization failure returns HTTP 402 or 5xx","Stale data if Census MTIS or Advance M3 releases are delayed","Empty or malformed response if the upstream data pipeline has an issue"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose CyclePulse when you need a pre-computed, plain-English US manufacturing cycle assessment grounded in official Census inventory and factory order data, without having to aggregate raw government datasets yourself. It is particularly useful as a companion to supply-chain stress indicators or broader macro signals when timing industrial demand, capex cycles, or commodity pull-through. Prefer it over generic macro endpoints when the specific question is about inventory accumulation/drawdown dynamics or factory order momentum.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-14T12:39:14.140Z","isFirstParty":false}