{"uid":"cap_iNzSVtNGDilomZ3IsXhiD","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8fc405af","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lCWs8RKgVNI50R3agKLvQ","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market event.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for 'Fed rate cut in 2025' — I want to see Yes/No probabilities, volume, and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for the next US presidential election — I want the Yes/No implied probabilities and trading volume right now."},{"title":"Crypto price target market odds","prompt":"What are traders betting on Polymarket for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of year? Give me the implied probability and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro event sentiment analysis","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets around a US recession in 2025 — I need the current Yes/No odds, volume, and overall market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream service error","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-matched result","Payment not processed (x402) — endpoint returns 402 Payment Required","Stale or low-liquidity market returned — odds may not reflect active trading"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer this over static news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money. Best suited for agents making decisions that benefit from knowing what sophisticated traders are collectively betting on.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:52.416Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}