{"uid":"cap_iMWEUyzAp-o6Hc0LH80Ce","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_zU8oLou_AMMj9BrMdLdrd","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on the Fed cutting interest rates before end of 2025 — give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and any whale sentiment you can find?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket implied probability that Bitcoin will reach $150k by end of 2025 — I want the Yes/No odds and how much volume is trading on that market."},{"title":"Election outcome probability lookup","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds on the next US presidential election — give me the current implied probabilities for each candidate and any notable whale activity?"},{"title":"Macro event sentiment monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current odds on a US recession happening in 2025 — I want the implied Yes probability, trading volume, and any whale sentiment signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and relevant market metadata for the queried event or topic keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Topic keyword too vague — may return unrelated or multiple ambiguous markets","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch failure","Payment not completed (HTTP 402) — x402 micropayment required before data is returned","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or market has resolved"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from an active prediction market (Polymarket) rather than model-generated forecasts. It is ideal for querying current market sentiment on crypto, macro, AI, or political events where live orderbook-backed implied probabilities and whale activity are more informative than news summaries or analyst opinions. Prefer this over general news search when you want quantified probability estimates with volume and sentiment context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:53.082Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}