{"uid":"cap_iFSh39aKJY1_4oZ_7AutY","slug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a4656f13","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_yRFj4vfJZZbPML98yg3nu","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in 2025?' — I want to see the orderbook volume and any whale sentiment signals too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for 'Will Bitcoin hit $150k in 2025?' — give me the implied Yes probability, volume, and how whales are positioned."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the odds of a US recession in 2025? I want the live Yes/No implied probabilities and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI news event odds tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket live odds for any active markets around GPT-5 or a major AI regulation event — what's the current implied probability and trading volume?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic too vague or ambiguous to resolve a specific market — may return multiple candidates or fail to match","Market may be resolved or closed — historical data returned instead of live odds","Rate limit or payment failure via x402 — returns 402 Payment Required if USDC micropayment is not attached","Polymarket API upstream outage — may return error or stale data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market, especially for crypto, macro, AI, or geopolitical events. It is preferable over traditional news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and volume signals, and when whale positioning or orderbook depth is relevant to your decision.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:02.255Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219"}