{"uid":"cap_i6bS7XtzmdDm6Hr6yBBlP","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f9a6777f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_83wHOyLXetLMpvBl01wpb","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $100K this year, including trading volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of the Republican candidate winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the Yes/No implied odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Fed rate cut market sentiment","prompt":"Check live Polymarket prediction market odds on whether the Fed will cut interest rates in Q3 — I want the implied probability, volume, and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation event tracking","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for whether the EU AI Act will be enforced by end of 2025, including the orderbook probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes and No probabilities (expressed as percentages or decimals), market trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and metadata about the matched prediction market event or question.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or low-confidence result","Topic string too vague to resolve to a specific market — may return multiple unrelated markets","Polymarket API or data feed temporarily unavailable — upstream fetch failure","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not attached or fails","Rate limiting if too many requests are sent in short succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market — especially when you want not just odds but also volume and whale-level orderflow sentiment. Prefer this over static news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probabilities reflecting actual financial stakes.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:31:30.063Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}