{"uid":"cap_hT4ghag8jGJmO5iTVEBNu","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-6a62908f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Dh5RN9uPAfVFE0KHRf4Wk","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Ethereum flipping Bitcoin in market cap — what's the implied Yes probability right now and how much volume is on that market?"},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What are Polymarket traders currently pricing in for a Fed rate cut in September? Give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around a US AI regulation bill passing in 2025 — what are the current odds and how's the sentiment looking?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook snapshot including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the queried event or topic keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream error propagated","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most liquid or first match","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or inactive market","Payment not processed (x402) — endpoint returns 402 before data is delivered"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need live, real-money crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events — particularly when you want orderbook depth, trading volume, and large-trader (whale) sentiment rather than just a headline price. Prefer it over news APIs or sentiment scrapers when you want market-implied probabilities rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:20.779Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}