{"uid":"cap_hRGfyPleakAQ_gAIZHF4z","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_9feENOo-cBgDero-TJXRi","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability tracking","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k this year — I want to see the implied Yes probability and how much volume is on that market."},{"title":"Political election market sentiment","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market probabilities for the next US presidential election outcome? Show me the current Yes/No implied odds and whale sentiment."},{"title":"AI regulation forecasting","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current odds that the EU AI Act enforcement leads to a major US AI company being fined this year — I want the orderbook implied probability and recent volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), 24h trading volume, whale sentiment signals, and other market metadata derived from active prediction market contracts on Polymarket.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or data source is temporarily unavailable — may return timeout or 5xx error","Ambiguous topic query matches multiple markets — may return aggregate or first-match result","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low activity for that market","Payment required error (HTTP 402) if USDC micropayment via x402 is not completed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. It is ideal for agents that need market-implied odds rather than model-based forecasts, or that want to gauge speculative sentiment and whale positioning on a specific event outcome. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you need a quantified probability with associated trading volume as a confidence signal.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:24.755Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}