{"uid":"cap_hQKeEIFGWs5O2zLdnyhBx","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b1b52470","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_3O-TIFXJZAIhpQhk1vyLr","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — including volume and whether whales are leaning yes or no?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Ethereum hitting $5,000 this year — I want the implied Yes probability, trading volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro event political odds lookup","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket probability that the Fed cuts rates at the next FOMC meeting? Show me the Yes/No breakdown and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"AI regulation event probability","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current odds on any major AI regulation bill passing in the US in 2025 — I need the implied probability and whether big players are betting yes or no."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale/large-player sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the wrong or most popular match","Polymarket API or data feed unavailable — returns error or stale data","Payment not processed (HTTP 402) — call fails before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exceeded at the upstream provider"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when an agent needs real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates on macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's liquid prediction markets. Prefer this over news or sentiment APIs when you need quantified implied probabilities rather than qualitative sentiment, and over generic crypto price feeds when the question is event-driven rather than spot-price-driven.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:15.688Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}