{"uid":"cap_hKN2WIs5HyOZDCilnqpK4","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0bb3ca8f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Uz3926mPzrJ4KgIF9BGKp","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any prediction market topic including elections, crypto, AI, and macro events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — and is there any notable whale activity in that market right now?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live election probability monitoring","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on who wins the 2024 US presidential election — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and any volume or whale sentiment data available."},{"title":"Crypto event outcome tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a spot Bitcoin ETF being approved in the next 6 months? Include trading volume if you can."},{"title":"Macro event risk assessment","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market for whether the Fed will cut interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — what are the current implied odds and how is sentiment trending?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook snapshot including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, whale sentiment indicators, and market metadata for the queried prediction market topic.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or error response","Topic query too vague or ambiguous — may return unrelated market","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Payment not processed (x402) — returns 402 Payment Required before serving data","Market may be resolved/closed — stale or unavailable odds"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates on macro, political, crypto, or AI events as priced by actual market participants on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you need quantified probability estimates backed by real money, or over general web search when you specifically need Polymarket orderbook and volume data. Best for agents doing event-driven decision making, risk assessment, or market intelligence workflows.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:49:45.881Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}