{"uid":"cap_hHAY2ibkTLvlVsbKg_DME","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b2739a54","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_QQidXLPEpVPPyMDE9A1C9","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k this year — and are whales leaning bullish or bearish?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for an Ethereum spot ETF being approved this quarter — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"Macro recession sentiment gauge","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a US recession in 2025? Give me the orderbook-implied odds and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets on AI regulation passing in the US this year and tell me the current implied probabilities and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, 24h volume, and whale sentiment indicators for relevant macro, crypto, or AI prediction markets.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or error response","Ambiguous topic query matching multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match data","Payment failure or 402 not settled — request not processed","Malformed or empty topic string — validation error returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. Prefer this over sentiment analysis tools when you want market-implied probabilities backed by actual money, or over news APIs when you want quantified crowd conviction rather than qualitative headlines.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:30:11.449Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}