{"uid":"cap_h2ZXZZNrn3PFAynUtzvii","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-094fc2d9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_e987_OaowQf8CfnJLTRFp","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probability for a US recession happening in 2025 — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of a spot Ethereum ETF being approved this year — including current volume and any whale positioning?"},{"title":"Political election odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on who wins the 2024 US presidential election and tell me the current Yes/No implied probabilities for each candidate."},{"title":"AI event market sentiment","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently betting on for GPT-5 being released before the end of 2024 — give me the implied probability, volume, and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume metrics, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic too vague to resolve to a specific Polymarket market — query should be more specific","Upstream Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — returns 5xx error","Payment not completed via x402 — returns HTTP 402 Payment Required","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most liquid or first-matched result"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected in actual financial markets. It is preferable to opinion polls or news sentiment when you want market-implied odds backed by real money. Ideal for agents doing event-driven trading research, risk assessment, or decision support where prediction market consensus is more actionable than qualitative analysis.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:30.314Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}