{"uid":"cap_gvfIcImDMKk2G0v0abksn","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lXGBc9OCB9A_PmvZqT7b_","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 this year — include volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum ETF staking gets approved this quarter? Show me the Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Macro recession market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the US enters a recession in 2025 — I want the implied probabilities and any whale sentiment data."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket betting on for AI regulation passing in the EU this year? Give me the current Yes/No probabilities and orderbook volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators — giving a real-time market-consensus probability for the specified event or question.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may return multiple or unexpected markets","HTTP 402 payment required if x402 micropayment is not properly submitted","Rate limiting or timeout if the Polymarket orderbook feed is overloaded"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by actual money at risk on Polymarket — superior to news sentiment or analyst forecasts because it reflects financially-committed market consensus. Prefer this over generic news APIs when you need quantified probability (e.g. 73% Yes) rather than qualitative sentiment.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:19:52.234Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}