{"uid":"cap_guQkLGxM2JT7ioATF5vlD","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-2269d31f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_uNRJVhN0Ex2kv31TjKzNV","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for the US presidential election — including Yes/No percentages and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull up the live Polymarket odds and implied probability for Bitcoin breaking $150k before end of 2025 — I want to see the Yes/No percentages and current volume."},{"title":"Fed rate decision market sentiment","prompt":"What's Polymarket currently pricing in for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Give me the implied probabilities and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation event probability","prompt":"Check Polymarket's live prediction market for the chances of a major US AI regulation bill passing this year — I need the current Yes/No odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream unavailability causing stale or failed data fetch","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return unintended market data","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response before data is returned","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction markets, especially when you want implied probabilities, orderbook depth, volume, and large-trader (whale) sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-priced probability rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:30.765Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}