{"uid":"cap_gjkVEl5L6XVmOAf3n0cAJ","slug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8db50291","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_A59ZJmsHpUlEOd7yFAJsu","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Bitcoin ETF approval' — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live election probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — who does the market think will win and with what confidence?"},{"title":"Crypto event odds for trading decision","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds and volume for 'Ethereum ETF approval' — I want to know what the market is pricing in before I make a move."},{"title":"Macro event sentiment monitoring","prompt":"What is the current Polymarket crowd prediction for a Fed interest rate cut in December — give me the Yes/No implied probability and any whale sentiment signals?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the relevant prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword returns no matching Polymarket market — empty or null result","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — service timeout","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return aggregated or first-match result","Payment authorization failure via x402 — 402 response before data is returned","Stale orderbook data if market liquidity is very low"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. It is ideal when you want implied market probabilities rather than news sentiment or analyst forecasts, and when whale trading behavior is relevant to your analysis.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:13.754Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-4c3229d4"}