{"uid":"cap_gQGh4w0TKpEcRW-acrgDd","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f31c1d77","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-live-odds-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Npoh29zIttDlSDNJCBAt4","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by end of 2025? Include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price prediction market check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Ethereum ETF approval — what's the current implied probability and what are the whales betting on?"},{"title":"Macro event probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently price as the probability of a US recession happening in 2025? I want the live orderbook odds and any volume data."},{"title":"AI event market sentiment check","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live prediction market odds on GPT-5 being released before the end of this year — give me the Yes/No probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from orderbook data, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader activity.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets requiring disambiguation","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting — endpoint may return upstream error","Stale or illiquid market — low volume may result in unreliable implied probabilities","Payment failure via x402 — call blocked if USDC payment is not processed correctly"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market — particularly when you want market-implied odds (not just news sentiment) and whale/volume signals. Prefer this over general news search when you need a quantified probability rather than qualitative analysis, and over static data sources when you need live, continuously updated market prices.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:48.050Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}