{"uid":"cap_gNUjS0-4wL1eXve7gVpU5","slug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_wA-oGWhnJWRzqad3813ok","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes probability right now for 'Bitcoin ETF approval in 2025'? I also want to see whale sentiment and trading volume.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Republican winning the 2026 midterms? I want the implied Yes/No odds and any whale positioning you can see."},{"title":"Fed rate cut prediction market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and implied probabilities for a Fed rate cut in Q3 2025 — I want to see volume and how whales are positioned."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of Ethereum ETF approval this year and tell me the current Yes/No odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities expressed as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-trader positioning on the event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword returns no matching Polymarket markets (unknown or too niche a question)","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable, returning an error or stale data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets, potentially returning mixed or unexpected results","Payment not processed correctly via x402, resulting in 402 error and no data returned","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected in actual money on the line on Polymarket. It is best when the user wants implied odds, Yes/No probability, volume, or large-trader sentiment rather than news or historical data. Prefer it over general news APIs when you want market-derived probabilities rather than editorial coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:27.700Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-96f131ec"}