{"uid":"cap_g4kjWxNPzYjKL71yXUkp3","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d0d4a1d6","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_z6NqiWh-f5O_TRBQzAMhI","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket implied probabilities for a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — show me the Yes/No odds, current volume, and whether whales are leaning one way?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year? Give me the implied odds and trading volume."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current odds on the US passing major AI regulation legislation in 2025 — I need the Yes/No implied probabilities and market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried prediction market topic or event keyword","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or error response","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return unexpected or aggregated results","Payment of $0.01 USDC not processed — HTTP 402 response blocking access","Market has low liquidity — orderbook data may be sparse or unreliable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities with volume and whale activity context. Best suited for FOMC decisions, crypto milestones, geopolitical outcomes, and AI policy events where Polymarket has active liquidity.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:35:15.712Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}