{"uid":"cap_g2bvKrBJONmr31Q6vCrGI","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-1525b3f1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_n0Xj_98sm6k7NI7jMv5vf","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What does Polymarket currently give as the implied probability that the Fed will cut interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — including the Yes/No odds and recent trading volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds that Bitcoin will hit $100k before the end of this year? Give me the Yes probability, volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"Political election odds lookup","prompt":"Can you pull the current Polymarket prediction for who wins the 2026 US midterms — I want to see the implied probabilities and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability that the EU AI Act enforcement leads to a major fine against a US tech company this year? Include volume and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-trader positioning on the event.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return mixed results","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data","Topic too vague or generic — low-confidence market match with irrelevant odds returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market, especially when you want orderbook depth, volume context, and whale sentiment rather than just a headline price or news summary.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:11.876Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}