{"uid":"cap_g0eWxZYVZJLP-ioDLcwfT","slug":"mycelia-signal-cpi-month-over-month-probability-distribution-686e2e56","name":"Mycelia Signal CPI Month-over-Month Probability Distribution","description":"CPI month-over-month change probability distribution from Kalshi — expected value, entropy, per-period implied distribution — Ed25519 signed attestation","url":"https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/prediction/cpi","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object"}}}}},"responseSchema":null,"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.25","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.25/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.25","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.25","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_sMhibf1QLWMVtWznkcWYj","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.25","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns Kalshi-derived CPI month-over-month change probability distribution including expected value, entropy, and per-period implied distribution, with Ed25519 signed attestation","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the current Kalshi-derived probability distribution for next month's CPI reading — I want the expected value, entropy, and the per-period implied distribution, all with a signed attestation I can verify?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Fed rate decision scenario analysis","prompt":"I'm modeling Fed rate decision probabilities — can you pull the Kalshi-implied CPI month-over-month distribution so I can see what the market expects for inflation and how uncertain that expectation is?"},{"title":"Inflation hedge portfolio rebalancing","prompt":"Before I rebalance my TIPS and nominal bond positions, can you get me the prediction market probability distribution for the upcoming CPI print, including the expected value and entropy so I know how spread out the market expectations are?"},{"title":"Macro research newsletter update","prompt":"I need the latest Kalshi-sourced CPI probability distribution for my macro research update — include the expected value, the entropy score, and the Ed25519 attestation so readers know the data is cryptographically verified."}],"resultDescription":"A signed JSON payload containing the Kalshi-derived CPI month-over-month probability distribution, including: the expected value of the next CPI print, entropy of the distribution (measuring market uncertainty), per-period implied probability weights across CPI outcome buckets, and an Ed25519 cryptographic attestation verifying the data integrity and origin.","failureModes":["Kalshi API unavailability causing stale or missing distribution data","Payment not processed — 402 response requiring x402 USDC payment of $0.25","Invalid or expired Ed25519 signature if attestation infrastructure fails","Empty or low-liquidity prediction market resulting in low-quality distribution","Rate limiting if the endpoint is called too frequently"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need a cryptographically attested, prediction-market-implied probability distribution for US CPI month-over-month change — particularly when you need the full distribution shape (entropy, per-period weights) rather than just a point estimate. Prefer this over news-based or model-based inflation forecasts when you want market-consensus pricing of inflation outcomes with verifiable data provenance via Ed25519 signature.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-14T12:50:21.453Z","isFirstParty":false}