{"uid":"cap_fiV-pGhDy_KmqRBeO9sDq","slug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f2dbca28","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_V18Lbc7O6GovxDhUgRMXr","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI event topics.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for a US recession in 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k before the end of this year — I want the implied yes probability, volume, and what whales are betting on."},{"title":"Macro policy market monitor","prompt":"What's the live Polymarket implied probability that the Fed cuts interest rates at the next FOMC meeting? Include volume and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the odds of a major US AI regulation bill passing in 2025 — give me the yes/no probabilities and how much has been traded."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities as percentages, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating large-position trader behavior for macro, crypto, or AI events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple unrelated markets — may return incorrect or mixed results","Payment failure via x402 — request blocked before data is fetched","Network timeout if Polymarket orderbook is slow to respond"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks for macro, crypto, or AI events. It is ideal when you want implied market probabilities rather than analyst forecasts, and when whale sentiment or trading volume context is valuable. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you specifically want financialized crowd prediction data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:14.927Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219"}