{"uid":"cap_fV9CqS9TOdw2pS4NLS5GM","slug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a90b44c9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_N9W_Ambse3gXc7WwblS8l","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook data, volume, and whale sentiment from Polymarket for any macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market event","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for Bitcoin ETF approval — including volume and whether whales are leaning Yes or No?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of Ethereum hitting $5,000 before the end of this year? Give me the Yes/No odds and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket odds on whether the Fed will cut interest rates at their next meeting — I want the implied probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"AI milestone market sentiment","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds on a major AI lab releasing AGI-level capabilities in 2025? I want the implied Yes probability and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including implied Yes and No probabilities, orderbook depth, total trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment signals for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return multiple or unexpected results","Payment failure via x402 prevents endpoint access","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returns 402 or 429 error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as reflected by real money on Polymarket. Prefer this over static news or analyst forecasts when you want a market-implied consensus with volume and sentiment signals. Best suited for real-time decision support, risk assessment, or monitoring evolving event probabilities.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T06:41:22.310Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c"}